Romania's official government site still listed Bolojan as prime minister in August 2026, with no investiture vote held and no Article 89 dissolution.
The market resolves on the Romanian Government's official records for the person exercising the office of prime minister on 10 August 2026, acting or confirmed. The snap-election option resolves YES only on a formal dissolution of Parliament by the President under Article 89 before that date. If that source has not published in time, Monitorul Oficial and Al Jazeera settle it.
We looked at every Romanian government brought down by a censure motion, a vote of no confidence in parliament, since 1989. There are four. Then we checked how fast parliament confirmed the next government. Two were replaced within four weeks and two took much longer. Both of the slow ones went through failed nominations first.