Tue, 19 May 2026
Hunch
Market03 Sep 2026

Does a UK minister say on record by 30 Nov 2026 that Scottish food price caps would breach the Internal Market Act?

BinaryResolves 30 Nov 2026
History75%
Hunch20%
Your forecast
  • Yes
  • No
Resolves 30 Nov 2026
How this resolves

Resolves on Hansard (Commons or Lords, published the same day) and gov.uk (written statements, news, correspondence). YES if a UK minister states on the record, on or before 30 November 2026, that a Scottish statutory food price cap would breach or conflict with the United Kingdom Internal Market Act 2020, or would need an exclusion the Government would not grant. Under the two-source rule, BBC News and The Guardian reporting the same on-record statement. A remark attributed to unnamed sources does not count.

The pattern behind it

2 of 8
Two of the last eight Scottish measures that met a UK-level constraint came through in the form the Parliament passed them: the single-use plastics ban and the glue trap ban, both by Internal Market Act exclusions granted in full. Over the full record since 2012 it is three of ten, the third being minimum unit pricing after five years and a Supreme Court ruling. The other seven were struck down, narrowed on reconsideration, blocked at Royal Assent or, for the deposit return scheme, granted an exclusion that left out glass.

We found ten Scottish measures since 2012 that needed UK clearance. Each was passed by the Scottish Parliament, or sent to court before it was introduced. It could only work as passed if the UK Supreme Court found it within Holyrood's powers, if no UK order blocked it under section 35 of the Scotland Act 1998, or if the UK granted an exception from the Internal Market Act. We asked whether it came through in full. The last eight are shown.