History. 1 of 4: only once did the two sides agree within 80 days: Nokia in France in 2017, on day 13, when the government accepted its plan and the cuts went ahead. The other deals came later: Ilva on day 121, U.S. Steel after about two and a half years, and GE paid a fine on day 236.
Hunch. The minister said on 29 October she wants a plan with a timeline before she meets the company, but on 6 November the company still said it already keeps its promises.
The deal market resolves YES if by 24 December 2026 the industry minister announces that she has accepted new or changed promises, a settlement or a jobs plan with dates from the company, and talks or a plan she has not accepted do not count. The minister's announcement settles it, with CBC, The Globe and Mail and The Canadian Press as backups.
We looked for cases where a government demanded that a foreign buyer keep a jobs promise it gave to win approval for a purchase. We found four such fights from 2009 to 2019. The first was Stelco itself, under its earlier US owner. The other three were in France and Italy. (CBC; CBC; franceinfo; franceinfo; ANSA)