The official provisional result from the Federal Statistical Office on 27 September 2026 shows the neutrality initiative rejected, with 29.8% yes and no canton in favour; Al Jazeera reports the same result.
History. 1 of 5. Only the 2014 plan for immigration quotas passed, with 50.3% of voters and 14.5 of 23 cantons.
Hunch.
The first market resolves on the official provisional result for the neutrality initiative published by the Federal Statistical Office and the Federal Chancellery on 27 September 2026: YES if it is accepted by both voters and cantons, NO otherwise. If the official data cannot be reached, Reuters and Al Jazeera reports of the official result settle it.
We looked for cases where Swiss voters were asked to limit the government's hand abroad, or to reopen or leave international treaties, by a citizens' initiative that the government and parliament told them to reject. We found five, from 2012 to June 2026. In each we compared the result with the last SRG poll and with the vote of the cantons.