The official provisional yes share on 27 September 2026 was 29.8%, below 40%, according to the Federal Statistical Office; Al Jazeera reports about 70% against.
History. 2 of 5. The yes share was above 40% in 2014 (50.3%) and June 2026 (45.2%), and below it in 2012, 2018 and 2020.
Hunch.
The 40% market resolves on the same official provisional yes share: YES if it is above 40.0%. Reuters and Al Jazeera reports of the official figure are the backup.
We looked for cases where Swiss voters were asked to limit the government's hand abroad, or to reopen or leave international treaties, by a citizens' initiative that the government and parliament told them to reject. We found five, from 2012 to June 2026. In each we compared the result with the last SRG poll and with the vote of the cantons.