Does Lorena Wiebes win the green points jersey in Nice?
BinaryResolves 9 Aug 2026
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Your forecast
Yes
No
Resolved
Resolved: YES
The organiser's official rankings list Lorena Wiebes as points classification winner on 181 points, her second consecutive green jersey.
Resolved 9 Aug 2026
How this resolves
Resolves YES if letourfemmes.fr lists Lorena Wiebes as winner of the points classification after the final stage; abandonment or disqualification before Nice resolves NO. If that source has not published in time, The Guardian and BBC Sport settle it.
The pattern behind it
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In four editions, the opening-stage winner has never won the Tour de France Femmes. The split inside the record matters: when the opener was a flat sprint (2022, 2024), the stage winner dropped out of the GC picture within days; when it was punchy (2023, 2025), the winner was an all-rounder who stayed prominent but still lost the title in the mountains. Lausanne 2026 was punchy, but it was won by the purest sprinter in the field.
No first-stage winner has won the women's Tour since 2022. The Tour de France Femmes has had four editions since it restarted that year. Each opened with a stage winner in yellow, and each time someone else won in the end. What happened to that rider depended on the kind of first stage.
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