Tesla closed at $319.69 on 23 July 2026, down 14.5 per cent from the prior close of $374.01 on the first full trading day after the Q2 results, its biggest one-day drop in a year, per Nasdaq closing prices and Bloomberg.
The market resolves on Nasdaq official closing prices for TSLA on the first full trading day after Tesla's Q2 2026 earnings release, against the prior session's close. It resolves YES if the close is lower. If that source has not published in time, Bloomberg and Tesla's investor-relations calendar for the earnings date settle it.
We looked at every Tesla delivery record since 2020. For each one we checked whether the shares were lower a month after the record was announced. The record itself was always real. Most times, though, the earnings report about three weeks later showed what it had cost.