Tue, 19 May 2026
Hunch
Market08 Jun 2026

Will Uber and Wayve begin public robotaxi rides in London by 10 Aug 2026?

BinaryResolves 10 Aug 2026
History33%
Hunch18%
Your forecast
  • Yes
  • No
Resolved
Resolved: NO

No public robotaxi rides had begun by 10 August; Uber and Wayve only received London operating licences on 5 August, with rides expected “later this summer” (BBC; Bloomberg; Sky News, 5–6 Aug 2026).

Resolved 10 Aug 2026
How this resolves

The launch market resolves YES only if members of the public can book and complete a robotaxi ride in Greater London through Uber or Wayve channels by the deadline; source of truth is official Uber or Wayve announcements confirmed by TfL or DfT permit records. Trial rides restricted to employees, journalists or invited testers do not count as public rides.

The pattern behind it

2 of 6
2 of 6 headline robotaxi launch windows since 2016 were met on schedule, and both of those launches were smaller in scope than announced. The base rate leans firmly towards slippage.

Most big robotaxi launch dates since 2016 were missed. We looked at the launch dates that robotaxi companies announced and checked whether the service opened to the public on time. The few launches that did happen came with safety drivers on board or in small areas.