No date for a presidential election was set by 31 October 2026: the Verkhovna Rada news page shows no such decision, and martial law was instead extended to 29 January 2027; the president's site blocks access, so the Rada page settles it.
The election market resolves YES only if the president or the Verkhovna Rada sets a specific date for a presidential election, confirmed on president.gov.ua or rada.gov.ua, by 23:59 GMT on 31 October 2026.
We looked at every big corruption clash in Ukraine since Russia's full-scale invasion in 2022, where anti-corruption investigators or parliament moved against the government. We found four. Each time, senior officials were out within days. In none of the four did the crisis bring the country any closer to an election.