English councils face £10bn of special needs debt. Will the Budget promise to help?

County councils in England say their debts for special needs support in schools could reach £10.4bn by March 2028. The Budget is on 28 October.

Historical sample: 1 of 6.

Current example: 28 Oct (not part of the historical sample).

1 of 6One of six times councils asked for help with debts before a spending plan, the next plan promised a share.

Will the 28 Oct Budget promise to pay a share of future SEND debts?

History1 of 6Hunch11%

Reports say John Healey dropped a wider mansion tax. Will his Budget keep to that?

In three of four times a chancellor dropped a tax rise before a Budget, the next one kept to it, and once the tax rose another way.

History3 of 4Hunch79%

In six of eight past Budgets with pump prices near a record, the Treasury put off, cut or split a planned fuel duty rise.

History75%Hunch80%

In none of four past Budgets did the Treasury raise the tax on the part of an industry that had warned of closures.

History0 of 4Hunch40%

Four of the last five autumn fiscal events that followed a summer warning raised taxes, from 2021 to 2025.

History4 of 5Hunch78%