US stocks02 Nov

Tech shares lost nearly $1tn in a week. Will Nvidia keep falling in November?

Nvidia shares fell 3.1% on Friday 30 October, as US technology shares lost nearly $1tn in a week. Nvidia publishes its results on 17 November.

Historical sample: 5 of 9.

2020: did not hold
2021: did not hold
2021: held
2022: held
2022: held
2022: held
2024: held
2024: did not hold
2025: did not hold

Current example: 2026 (not part of the historical sample).

5 of 9Five of nine times Nvidia reported soon after a tech sell-off, its shares fell over 6% that month.

Will Nvidia shares trade at or below $192 at any point in November?

History5 of 9Hunch49%

US stocks01 Nov

Okta joins the list of America's 500 biggest companies. Will December add more?

Okta is the third company to join the S&P 500 early since 1 October. Six of nine times after two or more companies joined early, S&P's next review added two or three more, and three times none.

History67%Hunch58%

US stocks30 Oct

Google's owner lost $500bn in one day. Will the S&P 500 end 2026 at 8,000 or more?

Four of five times big tech results pulled US shares down near a record, the index ended the quarter higher, and once lower.

History2 of 5Hunch31%

US stocks02 Jul

The Dow hit a record after Alphabet joined. Such strong years mostly ended higher.

All but one record-heavy first half finished the year higher still. The exception, 1987, ended in a crash.

History4 of 5Hunch47%

Tech shares lost nearly $1tn in a week. Will Nvidia keep falling in November?

Okta joins the list of America's 500 biggest companies. Will December add more?

Google's owner lost $500bn in one day. Will the S&P 500 end 2026 at 8,000 or more?

The Dow hit a record after Alphabet joined. Such strong years mostly ended higher.

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