A suspected Chinese spy was close to Nvidia's boss. Will the US blacklist her firm?

US officials believe Alice Huang of Singapore's Megaspeed worked for China. The US has not added a new firm to its trade blacklist since October 2025.

Historical sample: 3 of 6.

2022: held
2024: held
2024: held
2025: did not hold
2025: did not hold
2026: did not hold

Current example: Nov (not part of the historical sample).

3 of 6Three of six accused firms were blacklisted, all of them accused before 2025.

Will the US add Megaspeed to its Entity List by 19 November?

History3 of 6Hunch3%

US chips27 Aug

Nvidia forecasts $108bn in sales. It has beaten every forecast since early 2023.

Nvidia finished above the top of its own revenue outlook in eight of the last eight quarters, and in every one of the last fourteen.

History100%Hunch80%

US chips15 May

US probes Arm's chip licences. Since 2009 none became a complaint within a year.

Only one chip antitrust action since 2009 produced a lasting regulator win, and none reached a complaint in a year.

History1 of 4Hunch7%

A suspected Chinese spy was close to Nvidia's boss. Will the US blacklist her firm?

Nvidia forecasts $108bn in sales. It has beaten every forecast since early 2023.

US probes Arm's chip licences. Since 2009 none became a complaint within a year.

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