US economy01 Nov

US core prices rose 0.3% in August and in September. Will October show 0.2%?

US core prices, without food and energy, rose 0.3% in August and in September. The October figure comes out on 25 November.

1 of 5Once in five such months the next US core price figure fell 0.1 points, twice it stayed level and twice it rose.

Will US core PCE inflation for October be 0.2%?

History1 of 5Hunch32%

US economy31 Oct

US hiring almost stalled in September. Will unemployment stay at 4.2% or go higher?

Five of six times after a weak month like this, US unemployment did not fall in the next report, and once it fell.

History83%Hunch69%

US economy25 Oct

The US growth figure is out on 29 October. When war pushed up oil, it came in slow.

In all seven quarters since 2003 when a war pushed up oil prices, the first US growth figure was 2% a year or less. This time an Atlanta Federal Reserve model expects 3.5%.

History100%Hunch88%

US economy02 Jul

US hiring slows sharply. Past weak months were more often a blip than a recession.

Most sub-100,000 payroll months proved to be noise from strikes or weather. Two preceded recession within a year.

History2 of 5Hunch63%

US core prices rose 0.3% in August and in September. Will October show 0.2%?

US hiring almost stalled in September. Will unemployment stay at 4.2% or go higher?

The US growth figure is out on 29 October. When war pushed up oil, it came in slow.

US hiring slows sharply. Past weak months were more often a blip than a recession.

Read

Topics

Company

Legal