Tue, 19 May 2026
Hunch

Open forecasts

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ECB

Isabel Schnabel quits Europe's central bank early. Her seat may be filled in weeks.

Isabel Schnabel, one of six people who run the European Central Bank, leaves on 3 January for the IMF. Euro area ministers must pick her successor.

4 of 5
UK tax

Trump wants Britain's tax on big tech gone. Will the Budget on 28 October drop it?

Donald Trump has threatened a 100% tariff over Britain's 2% tax on big tech firms. The Budget on 28 October is the next date the tax could change.

2 of 6
UK farming

England's farm nature money ran out in six hours. Will the Budget add more?

England's £253m fund that pays farmers to protect nature ran out in six hours. The £50m added in August was moved from other farm spending.

1 of 8
UK vets

UK vets must publish their prices from December. Did such rules cut bills before?

New rules for UK vets became law on 23 September. Vets must show their prices, and a written prescription can cost no more than £21.

1 of 5
US energy

Trump backs a US diesel export ban. Such threats usually worked within two months.

Donald Trump said on 22 September that he supports a ban on US diesel exports. His Treasury Secretary said a full or partial ban is being studied.

7 of 8
UK industry

Ineos halts its Hull plants over gas costs. Will UK help come before the Budget?

Sir Jim Ratcliffe's chemicals group Ineos is stopping its three plants near Hull. It says gas in the UK costs 12 times as much as in the US.

4 of 8
US companies

Warren Buffett leaves the Berkshire chair. Where will the shares be in four weeks?

Warren Buffett, 96, gave up the chair of Berkshire Hathaway on 18 September. His son Howard Buffett takes it, and Greg Abel stays chief executive.

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US interest rates

US rates rose for the first time in three years. Will the Fed raise in October too?

Kevin Warsh's Federal Reserve raised US interest rates on 16 September, its first rise in three years. The next meeting is on 27 and 28 October.

8 of 11
US antitrust

Paramount seeks to settle with 12 US states. Most such cases ended in a ruling.

Paramount is in advanced talks to settle the antitrust case that twelve US states brought to stop its $81bn purchase of Warner Bros. Discovery.

3 of 9
UK pensions

UK pensions set to rise with wages. Such rises were mostly confirmed by Budget day.

Wages in Britain grew 3.9% in the year to July, so the state pension should rise by that much next April under the triple lock.

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US crypto rules

The US Senate blocked a crypto bill. Such bills usually passed within three months.

On 15 September the US Senate fell short, 49 to 50, of the 60 votes needed to start debate on a bill setting rules for crypto markets.

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UK energy

UK energy bills rise in October. The cap after it has almost always gone up again.

Ofgem set the October energy price cap at £1,723 a year for a typical household on direct debit. The 4% rise comes almost entirely from gas.

6 of 7
UK water

Thames Water lenders name a board. Will the government have to take over?

London & Valley Water, holder of more than £17 billion of Thames Water's senior debt, named its first 4 proposed non-executive directors on 24 August.